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Spot Forex: Latest Headlines


Posted 7/30/2010 3:18:00 AM

Having peaked around 5 mth highs near 1.5663 yest, the [CABLE] rally that has consumed trade this week appears to be losing some momentum as the week draws to a close. The pair has now retraced over 50% of the 1.0744-1.4228 fall, leaving techs largely neutral. To this end, a break above yest's high should see an extension to 1.5816, while a loss of 1.5545 will open up corrective risks. We tend to favour the upside this session, indeed, the pair showed resilience in the face of terrible housing data yest and latest mortgage approvals, while ongoing talk of hefty month-end Usd sales is also facilitating modest headline gains in early trade. M&A news could prove Gbp-positive after the FT announced that Cheung Kong Infrastructure are to buy EDF's UK electricity network business for GBP5.8bn. Late, US GDP will act as the main driver of trade. 07:05 GMT - Only a limited, temporary negative reaction it seems to the Moody's headlines on Spain (AAA rating may go down a bit) in [EUR/USD]. Literally buoyant EU data over the last week or so, contrasting with more economic numbers woes and now fiscal concerns out of the US continue to drive this market higher. It does not seem to overly matter whether it is a risk on/off market or driven by Dollar aversion, the Euro has stayed a relative broad winner (apart from the Yen most recently) and if fix talk has any truth it should further underpin here today. Options players supposedly looking even higher towards 1.3250 in the next week or so, although it is worth noting that a number of late Jun/early Jul buyers here were looking to take profit into 1.3100 so do not rule out some profit taking here today

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